Monthly Indicator

Honduras's financial-intermediation sector grew 11.9% through May 2026, driven by increased lending to services, agriculture, manufacturing, construction, and consumer spending, boosting bank interest and commission income.

Honduras's trade deficit in goods reached $2.98 billion through May 2026, up 12.8% year-over-year, driven by rising imports and a decline in maquila (assembly-for-export) trade.

Honduras imported 12.3 million barrels of fuel through May 2026, with fuel distributors accounting for 74.8%, thermal power generators for 14.1%, and other importers for the remainder.

Honduras's average fuel-import cost reached $133.53 per barrel in May 2026, up 2.9% from April but marking a slowdown from the steep gains in March and April.

Family remittances to El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras totaled $20.15 billion in the first five months of 2026, an 8.6% increase from the same period a year earlier.

Honduras's business-confidence index (ICAE) reached 63.9 points in June 2026, its highest level for that month in six years, signaling strengthening optimism among entrepreneurs.

As of May 2026, Honduras's external public debt stood at $10.76 billion, with 70.1% owed to multilateral organizations, 20.9% to commercial creditors, and 9.0% to bilateral lenders.

Honduras's monthly inflation rate dropped to 0.19% in June 2026, the lowest for that month since 2020 and down 0.63 percentage points from May's 0.82%, marking the second consecutive month of decline.

Year-over-year inflation in Honduras eased to 5.83% in June, moving toward the central bank's medium-term target range of 4.00% plus or minus 1 percentage point.

Honduras's business confidence index (ICAE) reached 63.8 points in May 2026, its highest level for that month in six years, continuing an upward trend through the first half of the year.

Tradable goods prices in Honduras increased 0.81% month-over-month in May, driven by external shocks from geopolitical factors that pushed up fuel prices.

Year-over-year inflation in Honduras reached 6.09% in May, driven partly by Middle East conflict impacts, temporarily exceeding the central bank's medium-term tolerance range of 4.00% plus or minus 1 percentage point.

COHEP's May 2026 economic bulletin shows 4% accumulated GDP-activity growth through March, 3.12% inflation (transport up 10.55%), a pending $245 million IMF disbursement expected in late June, and government floating debt exceeding L 24.6 billion (about $985 million), or 2.4% of GDP.

Honduras imported 2.99 million barrels of diesel in the first four months of 2026, the largest share and fastest-growing fuel, followed by bunker fuel and premium gasoline at 1.84 million and 1.83 million barrels respectively.