Bch Data

Honduras's business-confidence index (ICAE) reached 63.9 points in June 2026, its highest level for that month in six years, signaling strengthening optimism among entrepreneurs.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $85 million in foreign currency on July 13, setting the weighted-average exchange rate at L26.7565 per dollar for July 14.

Honduras's net international reserves reached $1.29 billion as of July 10, up from January 27, with import coverage holding steady at 6.7 months.

The Central Bank's economic analysis team projects Honduras's economy will grow 3.6% in 2026 and 3.8% in 2027, within the range set by the 2026–2027 monetary program.

The Central Bank of Honduras forecasts year-over-year inflation of 4.97% at the close of 2026, with a declining trend that would bring it within the monetary authority's target range of 3.0–5.0% by June 2028.

Honduras's vehicle fleet grew to 3.6 million units in 2025, with motorcycles accounting for over half the increase and now representing 50.12% of all registered vehicles, driven by lower prices, easy financing, and fuel efficiency.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $80.1 million in its July 10 currency sale, setting the average exchange rate at L26.7635 per dollar for July 11–13.

Honduras's monthly inflation rate dropped to 0.19% in June 2026, the lowest for that month since 2020 and down 0.63 percentage points from May's 0.82%, marking the second consecutive month of decline.

A Fosdeh economist warns that roughly 37 billion lempiras in unaccounted money emitted by the previous administration could stoke inflation, though he notes that inflation stems from multiple causes including import dependence, fuel costs, and climate-driven agricultural shortfalls.

Year-over-year inflation in Honduras eased to 5.83% in June, moving toward the central bank's medium-term target range of 4.00% plus or minus 1 percentage point.

The Central Bank auctioned $82.7 million in its daily currency sale on July 9, setting the official exchange rate at L26.7528 per dollar for July 10.

Roberto Lagos, president of the Central Bank of Honduras, said July inflation data should show a deceleration, and the bank will review monetary-policy instruments to reduce excess money supply without harming credit growth, which has risen 6.7% in the first seven months of 2026.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $92.1 million in its July 8 foreign-exchange sale, setting the weighted average exchange rate at L26.7494 per dollar for July 9.

Family remittances to Honduras reached $11.9 billion in 2025, benefiting 3.1 million recipients and representing 30% of GDP, though growth rates are slowing compared to 2024.

The Central Bank of Honduras sold $98.5 million in its July 7 currency auction, setting the weighted average exchange rate at L26.7474 per dollar for July 8.

From January to March 2026, demand for concrete blocks (93.6%), aluminum-zinc roofing (84.1%), and ceramic tile (55.1%) drove increased production of cement, rebar, and concrete in Honduras's private construction sector.

The Central Bank president says Honduras's electricity crisis is the main brake on economic growth, limiting expansion to roughly 3.5% annually without reform, and that fixing the power sector would free public funds for health and education while attracting investment.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $83.6 million in its July 6 currency sale, setting the weighted-average exchange rate at L 26.7383 per dollar for July 7.

The Honduran central bank will overhaul its monetary program following the IMF's successful review of Honduras's economic plan, which unlocks a disbursement of roughly $240 million and aims to move toward a more flexible exchange market while maintaining inflation control.

Honduras's net international reserves have accumulated $1.346 billion since January 27, with import coverage rising to 6.7 months, according to the central bank.

Juliette Handal, former president of Honduras's main business council (Cohep), attributed a first-quarter decline in investment to security concerns, including gang violence and massacres, rising energy costs (set to jump 12%), and international supply-chain disruptions, all of which she said undermine investor confidence.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $81.5 million in a foreign-exchange sale on July 3, setting the average exchange rate at L26.7414 per dollar for July 4–6.

The Central Bank of Honduras kept its policy rate (TPM) at 5.75%, with interbank and central bank window rates aligned to that benchmark.

The Central Bank of Honduras auctioned $86.5 million in a foreign-exchange sale on July 2, establishing a weighted average exchange rate of 26.7397 lempiras per dollar for July 3.

The Central Bank of Honduras allocated $99.4 million in a foreign-exchange auction on July 1, setting the weighted average exchange rate at L26.7356 per dollar for July 2.

Credit to Honduras's private sector continues to grow favorably, driven by domestic-currency financing to businesses in productive sectors including services, real estate, and agriculture.

Honduras's banking system is reallocating resources toward domestic investments, particularly voluntary holdings of Central Bank securities and instruments issued by the government and state power utility ENEE.

The Central Bank of Honduras says its external position is solid, supported by rising foreign-exchange reserves and favorable inflows that have maintained a positive net flow of hard currency.

Foreign direct investment to Honduras continued to grow in the first three months of 2026, supporting economic activity, according to the Central Bank.

Through March 2026, residential construction remained the largest component of private building activity, with increases in new homes registered in Tegucigalpa, San Pedro Sula, and Juticalpa.