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El Niño is warming Atlantic waters and suppressing tropical cyclone development, with forecasters expecting only about 7 hurricanes in 2026 compared to a typical season's 15, though October and November remain the wettest and most active months for Honduras.

The Atlantic basin has produced five tropical storms but zero hurricanes through mid-September 2026—well below the typical four hurricanes by this date—as strengthening El Niño conditions in the Pacific suppress Atlantic storm development.

Hurricanes Karina and Lowell both reached Category 4 strength with 145 mph winds on September 2, while Tropical Storm Marie strengthened nearby and a fourth system is being monitored for possible development.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three Atlantic systems, with a low-pressure zone southwest of Cape Verde having a 70% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within seven days, though it poses no immediate threat to Honduras.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two low-pressure areas off Central America and Mexico with 70% and 80% chances of cyclonic development within seven days; tropical storm Amanda poses no threat to the region.