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Honduras is under pressure to meet a 1% fiscal-deficit target in its International Monetary Fund agreement, with economists warning that maintaining the goal will be one of its toughest challenges to preserve the IMF's confidence and safeguard economic credibility.

The Asfura administration has sent a letter of intent to IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva as the current three-year, $822 million program nears completion, though officials say no decision has been made yet on whether to pursue a new agreement.

Central Bank President Roberto Lagos said the IMF agreement does not condition approval of Honduras's electricity-sector reforms, characterizing the Fund as providing accompaniment to the government's own policy vision.

Honduras's private sector council COHEP reports 4% IMAE growth driven by agroindustry and remittances, while warning that 3.12% inflation pressured by transport costs and climate risks to agriculture remain key challenges alongside IMF agreement progress and floating debt monitoring.

COHEP's May 2026 economic bulletin shows 4% accumulated GDP-activity growth through March, 3.12% inflation (transport up 10.55%), a pending $245 million IMF disbursement expected in late June, and government floating debt exceeding L 24.6 billion (about $985 million), or 2.4% of GDP.