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Foreign direct investment in Honduras reached $675.8 million in the first half of 2026, up 67.4% year-on-year, according to COHEP's October economic bulletin, which also shows 4.4% GDP growth and 6.28% annual inflation.

Honduras's agriculture, fishing, forestry, and livestock sector grew 4.8%, led by crops of coffee, bananas, and fruit, with additional gains from shrimp and tilapia fishing, livestock, and poultry.

The Honduran private-sector council backs the IMF's 3.3% growth forecast for Honduras this year, citing headwinds including weak US and European growth, climate impacts, energy scarcity, fuel costs, and transport and health-sector labor conflict.

Economist Guillermo Matamoros warns that Honduras faces obstacles—global trade reconfigurations, drought effects, high production costs, and weakening agriculture and manufacturing—that threaten the central bank's 3–4% GDP growth forecast for 2026, with about 47,000 jobs lost so far this year.

The World Bank projects Honduras will grow 3.4% this year, placing it sixth among Central American and Caribbean nations in the Sica system, behind the Dominican Republic (4.7%) and El Salvador (4.5%).

Honduras's economy expanded 4.8% in the first seven months of 2026, officials said, driven by employment generation, consumer spending, and business activity that sustained growth momentum through mid-year.

Real economic output grew 5.0% year-over-year in June 2026 according to the Central Bank's monthly activity index, maintaining positive momentum despite global headwinds.

Honduras's IMAE economic index rose 3.3% in the first five months of 2026, driven by credit expansion and rising demand for some agricultural goods, despite global pressure from rising input costs.

Honduras's agricultural sector expanded 4.5%, driven by increased coffee, banana, fruit, and palm oil production, while fishing grew on higher shrimp and tilapia exports.

The Central Bank president says Honduras's electricity crisis is the main brake on economic growth, limiting expansion to roughly 3.5% annually without reform, and that fixing the power sector would free public funds for health and education while attracting investment.

Former BCIE president Dante Mossi said Honduras's first-quarter GDP growth of 3.6% was the slowest in Central America, warning that only countries growing above 6% can effectively reduce poverty, and urging the government to support small business, construction, and agriculture.

Honduras's manufacturing industry grew 1.5% in the first quarter of 2026, reversing a 3.0% contraction in the prior quarter, driven by increased demand for food and beverages including processed coffee, fish, oils, flour, and bakery products.

The International Monetary Fund's board approved Honduras's fourth and fifth program reviews, unlocking a $242 million disbursement and bringing total IMF funding to $725 million of a $847 million package, though the IMF flagged missed targets on electrical utility arrears and urged faster energy-sector reform.

Honduras's monthly economic activity index rose 3.5% in the first four months of 2026, driven by stronger agricultural-export sales and increased domestic consumption, the central bank reported.

Honduras's telecommunications sector expanded, driven by growth in mobile and fixed-line phone services and gains in postal and courier services tied to the rise of e-commerce.

Honduras's agriculture, forestry, and fishing sector expanded thanks to improved coffee yields from better farming practices and a rebound in banana, fruit, and African palm production.

Central Bank President Roberto Lagos said Honduras holds $11.5 billion in international reserves—enough to cover 6.7 months of imports—and projects 3.5% economic growth this year, though he cautioned that energy-sector reforms are needed to attract investment and push growth above 4%.