Canicula

Cenaos forecasters say the canícula — a mid-summer lull within the rainy season — combined with moderate El Niño conditions will reduce, but not eliminate, rainfall across Honduras from around July 15 to August 15, with high temperatures and only scattered light showers expected.

Climate experts warn that El Niño strengthening could prolong the dry season (canícula) from its usual six weeks to 45–60 days, reducing rainfall by 40–60% and straining water supplies, agriculture, and hydroelectric power across Honduras, with Tegucigalpa's reservoirs at critical levels.

Fenagh, the national farm federation, warns that irregular rainfall and the imminent onset of the mid-July dry season could slash agricultural output by up to 30 percent, with current losses already at 20 percent.

A tropical wave will bring rainfall to Honduras this weekend, but forecasters are warning of a severe canícula — the midsummer dry spell — ahead.

Agricultural leaders recommend Honduran smallholder farmers postpone planting until at least September due to a prolonged dry season and a forecast 40% rainfall deficit linked to a strong El Niño pattern, which threatens six drought-vulnerable departments.

Honduras's weather agency warns that El Niño, confirmed by NOAA, could extend into early 2027 and cause a prolonged dry season with rainfall deficits exceeding 40% in parts of the country, threatening corn and bean production and food prices in vulnerable regions.

Agriculture Minister Moisés Molina warned that Honduras faces a prolonged dry season exceeding two months due to El Niño, threatening grain production and food security, though the government has allocated 1.5 billion lempiras in production incentives and will provide technical support to farmers.