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A former president of Honduras's economists' association said the government's decision to raise the fuel subsidy from 50% to 65% warrants scrutiny given global oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel, and cautioned that prolonged subsidies strain public finances.

Economist Ismael Zepeda warns that each cent of lempira depreciation against the dollar directly raises costs for food, fuel, and services; the currency has weakened 1.5% in the first half of 2026, nearing 27 lempiras per dollar.

Former president of Honduras's economists' association Liliana Castillo projects the lempira could depreciate to 27 per US dollar by September if it continues declining at its current rate of about 6 centavos monthly, a gradual depreciation she says would cushion domestic prices better than a sharper drop.